Sunday, September 29, 2013

Yes, Abhimanyu can successfully exit from Chakravyuh : in the disguise of Working Capital Lender

 
Everyone knows the difficulty faced by the Vir Abhimanyu in epic Mahabharata. In his biggest war challenge what he was not knowing was how to exit from the Chakravyuh. Well, Abhimanyu was to follow that suit as the destiny had written that great end for him. What about the Working Capital (WC) lender? Lord Almighty has given a better choice to him if he is well planned and can dare to deviate from the tradition. I write this note for those who would like food for thought to innovate.
The exit strategy for a business is as important as entry, if not more.  Working capital funding is sort of short term finance. Generally the WC lines provided under the scheme are for one year period. It is experienced that with the growth of the borrower’s business, his requirement for WC assistance keeps on increasing. Depending on the performance/payment records, generally the lender supports the borrower by increasing the WC assistance. The critical point here is in contrast to that of term lending which comes  with fixed tenor, the WC facilities do not practically have fixed tenor or to say have only virtual tenor (i.e. one year valid line as per sanction terms). Lenders while assessing the Term Lending requirement clearly spell out the repayment period and thereby the drawing the exit route from the transaction i.e at the time of assessment only the lender knows when he will be able to come out/exit. But what about the WC assistance? Do the lenders draw the plan of exit from the relationship? On paper, Yes (since the line is stipulated as valid only for one year) but practically, No. This is because as long as the relationship is good, the lender keeps on being with the company (waiting for the bad time to come to deteriorate the asset quality !!).  So, do I mean to say that even if the account is good, lender should look for exit? I would suggest to consider the following points before developing views on this:
1. All industries see a cycle of performance from good times to bad and vice versa. When it would be bad time and lender would be requiring the borrower to give exit, won’t the borrower see the lender only as friend of good time? Therefore, it is the good time only when the lenders have to have a plan of exit (and it will be very easy for the borrower also to replace the lender). All private equity investment deals have this agreed plan between the parties. So, this is something which is acceptable to the financing world provided it is clearly spelled out as part of relationship terms at the beginning only.
2. By continuing with a relationship, over the years borrower leverages the relationship and succeeds in reducing lenders commissions/margins, and which is generally difficult for the lender to resist. Do you have any client who increases your commission after 4-5 years of fruitful relationship??
3. With the limited resources, lender’s activities would be concentrated only to limited no. of borrowers and lender would be missing the other new clients which may give better income.
4. By focusing his financial resources on existing borrowers lender misses the opportunity of diversifying risks.
5. Practically, if the lender try to exit at time bad time (i.e. borrower not performing well or other unfavourable reasons), it would not be possible due to stressed financial position of the borrower, and lender would most likely end up with a restructured account.
6. Borrower may not mind to know at the start only when the lender would like to exit or his exit plans. Such agreement in advance will make borrower ready to start the replacement exercise in advance.
7. If exit plans are known in advance, both the parties may not like to completely detach. Borrower may have other opportunities by way of relationship in some other group companies.
8.  In a way, the exit plan of WC lender would provide a right direction to the financing plans of the borrower as the borrower would timely take action and right approach for funding. Ascertaining the discontinuation of short term WC funds at a point of time, the borrower would be discouraged to resort to strategy of using the short term funds for long term funds.
9. Ways can be devised to recreate the relationship after a certain time, for example, the lender’s credit policy may allow to re-enter the WC relationship after a cooling period of certain years say 2-3 years.
10. What happens to your existing cross sale business penetration which you garnered over the years of relationship and which will collapse if you exit from the relationship? Suppose you have got all the cross sale business but after a certain point when the borrower requires you to increase the exposure, but your basic instinct/credit policy/assessment does not allow/suggests you to go for such enhancement, do you think that borrower will stick to the loyalty and continue to pass on that cross sale business to you?? He can’t because he will need to offer the same to other lenders in order to get them agree to increase their exposure. So, in the business of lending, advantage of cross sale cannot become the deciding factor to continue the relationship or not and therefore the loss of cross sale business should not be deterrent to exit strategy specially when it is planned at the time of entry only.
But other questions which are posed are, how or on what point one can decide to exit. What should be the parameters to decide exit point? Well, since we are looking from point of view of clarity about the exit at the time of entering into the relationship only, then the way could be a simple plan based on pre-decided period of relationship and overall profitability of account to be provided by the borrower over the planned period of relationship. The beginning of the relationship may enumerate the parameters based on which the exposure would be increased and when it would begin to recede, giving the plan a bell curve shape of lending during the relationship period. I think the best way to think would be to think like private equity investors who first thinks about the exit and overall return from the investment before making the investment !!

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

ECGC and Whole Turnover Policy Cover

 
 
When an Indian exporter gets orders from abroad for export of goods he faces the risk of non payment from the buyer.  In order to protect its losses due to default in payment by buyer, he can avail insurance from Export Credit Guarantee Corporation of India Ltd. (ECGC) an agency promoted by Government of India. Under this mechanism, as soon as the exporter firms up the export order, he can submit the details of the order along with the details of bank account of the buyer/importer to ECGC for obtaining the insurance. Suppose that the order is of USD 10,000 which is to be shipped in ten months with USD 1000 worth goods to be shipped per month. Say the exporter allows 90 days credit to the importer for payment.  If the first shipment is sent on April 01, second on May 01, third on June 01, by the time of fourth shipment there will be accrued credit of USD 3000 for April, May and June shipments.  When exporter decides to take insurance from ECGC, he can avail either for a shipment specific or a comprehensive buyer specific insurance. Suppose he opts for a buyer specific insurance. Based on the information submitted, ECGC through its information sources and network carries out the due diligence of the buyer and if satisfied with the credentials of the buyer, it will approve a limit for the buyer. Say for example, limit approved in the present example is USD 3000 i.e at any point of time pending payment obligation of the buyer should not be more than USD 3000. Therefore, before shipping the fourth consignment, the exporter has to ensure that the buyer has made the payment of earlier consignments in order to keep the credit within the stipulated limit of USD 3000 by ECGC.
In a Standard Shipments (Comprehensive Risks) Policy ECGC cover risks in respect of goods exported on short-term credit, i.e. credit not exceeding 180 days. This policy covers both commercial and political risks from the date of shipment. It is issued to exporters whose anticipated export turnover for the next 12 months is more than Rs.50 lacs. Under the Standard Policy, ECGC covers, from the date of shipment, the following risks: 
a. Commercial Risks viz.  Insolvency of the buyer, Failure of the buyer to make the payment due within a specified period, normally four months from the due date, Buyer's failure to accept the goods, subject to certain conditions.
 b. Political Risks viz. 1.  Imposition of restriction by the Government of the buyer's country or any Government action, which may block or delay the transfer of payment made by the buyer. 2.  War, civil war, revolution or civil disturbances in the buyer's country. New import restrictions or cancellation of a valid import license in the buyer's country. 3.  Interruption or diversion of voyage outside India resulting in payment of additional freight or insurance charges which cannot be recovered from the buyer.  4.  Any other cause of loss occurring outside India not normally insured by general insurers, and beyond the control of both the exporter and the buyer. 
There are various other insurance policies and Gurantee products by ECGC to meet the needs of the exporters and banks.
Banks in India provide pre-shipment (PC) and post-shipment (PSC) credit facilities to the exporter at the attractive terms. Banks also have the similar concerns as that of exporter regarding the non payment by the buyer. Non payment by the buyer would lead to default by the exporter in repayment of PC/PSC.  ECGC provides a comprehensive policy to the banks under which all the approved PC/PSC limits sanctioned by a bank to various clients are covered for insurance. This policy is called Whole-Turnover Policy. Under this policy all the PC/PSC limits sanctioned to the clients of the bank and status as ‘Standard’ under the RBI’s Prudential norms on Income Recognition, on a particular agreed cut-off date are covered under the policy.
Bank pays premium to ECGC on monthly basis in advance based on the average daily credit outstanding basis. Generally, the premium on PC limit is recovered from the exporter while the premium on PSC is absorbed by the bank. 
Under Whole Turnover PC policy, banks taking the cover for the first time, cover provided by ECGC is 75% up to certain Limit and 65% beyond the said Limit.  (For others it varies from 55% to 75% depending on claim premium ratio of the bank.). For Small Scale Exporters (SSE)/ Small Scale Industrial Units (SSI) with annual Export turnover not exceeding Rs. 50 Lakhs, 90% cover is provided.
Premium under Whole Turnover PC for a fresh cover is 8.5 paise (For others, varies from 6 to 9.5 paise per Rs. 100 p.m. depending on claim premium ratio) per Rs.100 per month on the average daily product basis.
Under Whole-Turnoover-PSC policy, cover provided by ECGC varies from 90% to 95% in respect of exporters who are Policyholders of ECGC and 50% to 75% for non-Policyholders, depending upon the claim premium ratio of the bank. For bills drawn on Associates of Policyholders coverage is 60% and of non-Policyholders it is 50%.
Premium charged by ECGC under Whole-Turnover – PSC Policy is 4.5 paise to 6.00 paise per Rs. 100 per month (p.m.) on the average daily product basis if advances against L/C bills are included for cover otherwise it is 5.5 paise to 7.00 paise depending upon the Claim Premium Ratio for the last 5 years.